location,date,estimate,estimate_top_95,estimate_top_50,estimate_bot_50,estimate_bot_95,official_covid_deaths,known_excess_deaths
World,2020-01-01,198.455,890.077,198.455,-979.888,-1422.363,NA,FALSE
World,2020-01-06,197.453,880.229,197.453,-976.451,-1401.069,0.75,FALSE
World,2020-01-13,-40.716,647.59,-40.716,-1222.508,-1653.883,0.125,FALSE
World,2020-01-20,-352.87,826.575,-352.87,-1467.517,-2095.976,0.375,FALSE
World,2020-01-27,-944.318,428.236,-711.514,-2055.221,-2814.862,10.25,FALSE
World,2020-02-03,787.961,2097.464,790.392,-458.162,-1672.049,46.75,FALSE
World,2020-02-10,-960.652,262.46,-938.266,-2291.411,-3327.453,81.5,FALSE
World,2020-02-17,-2213.7,-441.142,-2213.7,-3598.318,-5440.681,120.25,FALSE
World,2020-02-24,-3633.496,-1053.949,-2626.966,-4064.678,-5495.196,106.125,FALSE
World,2020-03-02,-4698.805,-1489.916,-3358.435,-5916.596,-7729.46,72.75,FALSE
World,2020-03-09,-1510.509,1907.928,41.042,-2713.693,-5416.983,108.875,FALSE
World,2020-03-16,520.811,3324.04,1703.871,-561.94,-2959.302,402.25,FALSE
World,2020-03-23,3009.731,9278.464,5468.642,2821.662,601.487,1361.25,FALSE
World,2020-03-30,4221.244,12003.617,6541.088,3560.118,1608.567,3088,FALSE
World,2020-04-06,6174.948,17052.373,8164.992,5430.844,1976.293,5155.875,FALSE
World,2020-04-13,5195.397,20675.207,6786.853,3950.737,1053.155,6647.875,FALSE
World,2020-04-20,3597.014,22076.128,5003.896,2053.8,-227.41,6880.625,FALSE
World,2020-04-27,2091.408,20772.741,3466.995,855.632,-2235.778,6170.5,FALSE
World,2020-05-04,6793.284,12504.657,7929.003,5507.496,2964.532,5741.125,FALSE
World,2020-05-11,7493.077,17636.346,9060.748,6141.392,3547.535,5511.5,FALSE
World,2020-05-18,9316.925,13790.062,9316.925,6109.232,3640.384,5106.875,FALSE
World,2020-05-25,8778.535,13335.185,9345.124,5913.39,3598.428,4871.625,FALSE
World,2020-06-01,13128.807,18264.991,13881.834,9904.768,7676.521,4750.375,FALSE
World,2020-06-08,14434.252,27876.278,15245.1,10716.597,7722.632,4985.375,FALSE
World,2020-06-15,15718.891,24940.655,16973.966,12494.693,9997.552,4999.125,FALSE
World,2020-06-22,17945.695,26348.618,19012.215,14175.65,11397.887,5312.5,FALSE
World,2020-06-29,18163.948,24483.786,19446.862,15038.012,12299.824,5212.375,FALSE
World,2020-07-06,20363.446,27386.158,22190.559,17082.266,14671.256,5198.125,FALSE
World,2020-07-13,20017.953,28621.544,23782.915,18594.924,15555.493,5576.5,FALSE
World,2020-07-20,20505.928,29308.948,24855.998,19516.008,16208.416,6067.625,FALSE
World,2020-07-27,21309.804,29463.499,24494.449,20740.598,16960.662,6381.25,FALSE
World,2020-08-03,19963.193,25899.271,22405.663,18385.049,14372.979,6424.875,FALSE
World,2020-08-10,21328.135,26089.054,22249.757,18569.412,14938.175,6519.25,FALSE
World,2020-08-17,19739.498,25609.008,21729.667,17811.498,13827.644,6315,FALSE
World,2020-08-24,19624.817,24910.186,20933.258,16950.163,14053.337,6074,FALSE
World,2020-08-31,19645.173,24117.83,20083.11,16160.28,13136.369,5901.125,FALSE
World,2020-09-07,20664.552,25275.628,21541.787,17430.065,13753.562,6138.625,FALSE
World,2020-09-14,19196.837,25380.169,20983.512,17031.431,13015.111,6057.375,FALSE
World,2020-09-21,18327.374,25735.667,20459.141,16763.585,12284.408,5504.5,FALSE
World,2020-09-28,17227.801,23470.291,19075.593,15444.496,12038.491,5348.875,FALSE
World,2020-10-05,18540.906,24960.005,20200.468,16559.688,13385.385,5301.625,FALSE
World,2020-10-12,19658.414,25160.517,20771.354,17929.633,14984.044,5344.5,FALSE
World,2020-10-19,20741.452,26364.361,21360.811,18686.282,15868.744,5364,FALSE
World,2020-10-26,20886.265,27001.073,22834.323,19576.649,17420.496,6052.75,FALSE
World,2020-11-02,27001.113,33089.678,28567.639,25401.373,22489.511,6932,FALSE
World,2020-11-09,28177.894,35835.877,29848.589,25968.266,23614.907,8183.125,FALSE
World,2020-11-16,29665.9,33907.261,30110.785,26276.211,23506.667,9182.875,FALSE
World,2020-11-23,27738.068,33740.55,30248.688,25906.067,23522.636,10209,FALSE
World,2020-11-30,26592.53,35890.09,29733.26,25995.395,22867.157,10513.5,FALSE
World,2020-12-07,26905.932,36010.813,30122.092,26396.906,23898.041,11016.75,FALSE
World,2020-12-14,26301.92,34591.86,29116.45,25877.474,23282.26,11433.375,FALSE
World,2020-12-21,26630.252,35028.917,29711.204,26135.157,23775.188,11905.75,FALSE
World,2020-12-28,28824.409,41111.152,30932.31,27510.206,24327.718,11246.375,FALSE
World,2021-01-04,27170.317,33594.394,28804.448,24843.671,21529.847,11931.625,FALSE
World,2021-01-11,27743.933,34767.537,29409.33,25914.315,22435.968,12969.375,FALSE
World,2021-01-18,27369.18,34670.055,29896.666,26455.097,21967.638,14128.75,FALSE
World,2021-01-25,24794.02,33972.466,26522.653,23169.639,19507.938,14432.125,FALSE
World,2021-02-01,21431.071,26156.079,22014.914,18749.402,15743.728,13948,FALSE
World,2021-02-08,18332.04,23803.47,18830.419,15687.576,12798.135,12382.125,FALSE
World,2021-02-15,17715.517,21347.78,17776.091,14648.408,11757.525,11364.375,FALSE
World,2021-02-22,15484.175,21298.576,16168.54,12811.754,10523.003,9524.625,FALSE
World,2021-03-01,16964.962,22449.919,17219.723,14203.837,11678.727,8939.875,FALSE
World,2021-03-08,16822.508,23107.094,17688.033,14490.23,11867.474,8441,FALSE
World,2021-03-15,17918.582,24630.888,19126.432,15627.585,12776.451,8498.75,FALSE
World,2021-03-22,20474.219,27178.996,21227.03,17338.136,13832.191,9127.875,FALSE
World,2021-03-29,24689.885,37659.995,25851.272,21224.76,17218.894,9756.5,FALSE
World,2021-04-05,30674.623,35379.142,31766.461,27372.708,23266.58,10450.25,FALSE
World,2021-04-12,33272.467,45335.339,34865.069,28359.436,23356.57,11297.5,FALSE
World,2021-04-19,43853.361,48819.146,43853.361,32923.845,28589.805,12163.625,FALSE
World,2021-04-26,46923.915,54700.352,46923.915,35026.795,27413.892,12995.625,FALSE
World,2021-05-03,60082.86,65449.44,60082.86,36491.637,24840.425,13533,FALSE
World,2021-05-10,62406.291,66209.348,62406.291,37067.88,23194.475,13033.75,FALSE
World,2021-05-17,66976.339,66976.339,66976.339,36341.615,22248.401,12415.875,FALSE
World,2021-05-24,57574.313,66883.062,57574.313,35502.133,21344.709,12162,FALSE
World,2021-05-31,56711.93,56711.93,56711.93,30277.337,21023.74,11089.75,FALSE
World,2021-06-07,56057.489,56057.489,56057.489,27765.515,19782.607,9640.25,FALSE
World,2021-06-14,50267.165,50267.165,50267.165,25304.695,19185.486,10189.375,FALSE
World,2021-06-21,48663.697,48663.697,48663.697,23515.382,17789.273,8861.25,FALSE
World,2021-06-28,40712.464,40712.464,40712.464,23488.531,18403.209,7919.375,FALSE
World,2021-07-05,37992.01,37992.01,37992.01,23712.017,19577.346,7631.625,FALSE
World,2021-07-12,42056.182,43028.927,42056.182,26390.013,21300.438,7786.125,FALSE
World,2021-07-19,37523.955,44796.395,37523.955,27236.974,21784.883,7979.25,FALSE
World,2021-07-26,41585.989,44740.679,41585.989,29892.029,24430.576,9779.125,FALSE
World,2021-08-02,42586.05,49933.692,42586.05,35023.278,30425.331,9259.75,FALSE
World,2021-08-09,47441.148,50997.178,47441.148,35743.283,30864.063,9841.125,FALSE
World,2021-08-16,46792.697,49542.418,46792.697,35563.201,30373.029,9949.25,FALSE
World,2021-08-23,39773.689,47657.368,41077.636,35171.409,30354.907,10156.5,FALSE
World,2021-08-30,37979.186,44574.933,39522.286,33474.754,28491.934,9968.875,FALSE
World,2021-09-06,37224.74,43602.772,38506.164,32793.883,28149.145,9617.125,FALSE
World,2021-09-13,35315.709,41123.977,35549.006,30203.379,26530.135,8926.875,FALSE
World,2021-09-20,33047.256,39324.955,33446.118,28408.755,24521.713,8572,FALSE
World,2021-09-27,30194.784,35499.659,30670.011,26074.638,22583.579,7724.25,FALSE
World,2021-10-04,27417.456,33997.801,28839.379,24115.966,20711.582,7259.375,FALSE
World,2021-10-11,28208.653,33965.987,28266.639,24235.509,21531.676,6690.625,FALSE
World,2021-10-18,26762.227,32106.759,27379.568,23346.32,20731.228,6416.625,FALSE
World,2021-10-25,26546.749,33434.862,27462.976,23236.923,19719.254,6820.25,FALSE
World,2021-11-01,27377.932,32201.036,27377.932,22799.596,19907.367,6959.375,FALSE
World,2021-11-08,27558.725,29919.643,27558.725,22387.804,19243.317,6763.375,FALSE
World,2021-11-15,27298.464,30974.284,27298.464,22035.088,18774.315,6994.5,FALSE
World,2021-11-22,27355.107,30520.426,27355.107,22037.223,19421.031,7455.375,FALSE
World,2021-11-29,26237.928,32693.076,27403.03,22761.652,19566.613,6875.125,FALSE
World,2021-12-06,23658.088,32899.792,23945.23,19204.95,16194.495,7360.125,FALSE
World,2021-12-13,24908.747,27693.42,24908.747,18207.262,15768.397,6799.25,FALSE
World,2021-12-20,25993.421,27961.493,25993.421,18087.597,16226.391,6452.625,FALSE
World,2021-12-27,26385.663,27911.158,26385.663,18447.069,15888.307,6303.125,FALSE
World,2022-01-03,25074.622,33365.186,25074.622,18991.962,15012.638,5803.875,FALSE
World,2022-01-10,27753.403,39359.502,32577.712,24280.979,18013.729,6269.25,FALSE
World,2022-01-17,32297.924,62558.795,42428.335,28302.303,19640.434,7324.75,FALSE
World,2022-01-24,39446.354,66864.116,47458.336,32045.268,22455.079,8234.625,FALSE
World,2022-01-31,37444.215,67456.894,48948.105,33204.165,23454.656,9464.125,FALSE
World,2022-02-07,34983.516,65768.914,46459.217,30160.457,22504.128,10509.625,FALSE
World,2022-02-14,31424.642,59345.422,43847.045,25952.962,19691.415,10435.125,FALSE
World,2022-02-21,29409.394,47193.3,32778.553,22277.892,17133.01,9488.5,FALSE
World,2022-02-28,25233.863,40931.676,28893.097,20841.268,15666.179,8274.125,FALSE
World,2022-03-07,22852.973,38074.101,25510.681,18028.19,13546.084,7088.25,FALSE
World,2022-03-14,23421.571,32499.759,23421.571,15861.019,12396.32,6000.125,FALSE
World,2022-03-21,22085.56,27572.012,22085.56,14535.018,9751.665,4989.375,FALSE
World,2022-03-28,25336.159,35642.171,25336.159,17072.951,12841.432,6157.875,FALSE
World,2022-04-04,17965.078,22212.83,17965.078,10077.708,6950.271,3644.125,FALSE
World,2022-04-11,17363.606,22704.177,17363.606,9428.931,6144.586,3123,FALSE
World,2022-04-18,15024.87,20794.066,15024.87,8881.474,5710.816,2618,FALSE
World,2022-04-25,13719.247,17302.399,13719.247,8311.371,5577.613,2290,FALSE
World,2022-05-02,12727.166,15819.372,12727.166,7783.837,5687.398,2208.375,FALSE
World,2022-05-09,13623.931,19311.311,13623.931,8738.288,7032.128,1749.625,FALSE
World,2022-05-16,13270.004,18337.845,13270.004,8756.4,6972.267,1529.375,FALSE
World,2022-05-23,12308.845,18899.718,12308.845,7995.072,5626.44,1404.875,FALSE
World,2022-05-30,13034.059,18384.31,13034.059,8305.141,6341.037,1405.5,FALSE
World,2022-06-06,13667.839,19025.652,13667.839,9008.864,7047.357,1217.125,FALSE
World,2022-06-13,13700.103,18718.459,13722.529,9478.056,7514.845,1275.25,FALSE
World,2022-06-20,14050.23,19292.744,14578.279,10056.188,7328.17,1246.125,FALSE
World,2022-06-27,14963.554,19910.107,15299.062,10746.603,7898.179,1426.375,FALSE
World,2022-07-04,14160.101,18487.176,14301.668,9867.74,6515.233,1555,FALSE
World,2022-07-11,14968.275,19780.912,15341.005,11097.848,7718.374,1718.25,FALSE
World,2022-07-18,17024.91,21735.023,17024.91,12529.17,9414.622,2014.75,FALSE
World,2022-07-25,16894.616,22676.063,17257.387,12969.745,8782.87,2282.375,FALSE
World,2022-08-01,19047.799,25466.794,19047.799,14055.417,11594.752,2406.75,FALSE
World,2022-08-08,19542.745,24763.265,19542.745,13473.058,11361.137,2324.5,FALSE
World,2022-08-15,20939.155,31051.311,21314.399,16424.422,12817.166,2347,FALSE
World,2022-08-22,19336.33,26491.156,19336.33,13431.844,10777.036,2172.75,FALSE
World,2022-08-29,16359.882,22305.973,16359.882,11919.436,8241.635,2059.5,FALSE
World,2022-09-05,14546.415,19939.445,14949.638,10543.879,7377.831,1897.875,FALSE
World,2022-09-12,14333.929,20258.598,14375.627,10381.72,7224.632,1562.75,FALSE
World,2022-09-19,13421.773,19006.099,13536.278,9280.134,6537.892,1448.625,FALSE
World,2022-09-26,14630.204,20478.668,15390.061,10639.04,7643.742,1361.125,FALSE
World,2022-10-03,14193.597,18583.934,14202.718,10112.974,7386.895,1421.125,FALSE
World,2022-10-10,13877.14,18309.289,14436.213,9584.563,6864.961,1507.25,FALSE
World,2022-10-17,12319.301,21814.769,14114.702,9589.011,6143.456,1458.375,FALSE
World,2022-10-24,11786.361,20807.252,13573.808,9211.837,6071.274,1568.125,FALSE
World,2022-10-31,11067.523,23546.268,13581.178,8736.558,5579.368,1531.875,FALSE
World,2022-11-07,11292.133,23726.746,13228.052,9057.117,5323.458,1500.5,FALSE
World,2022-11-14,11752.177,21425.549,14074.272,8992.273,5307.383,1305.125,FALSE
World,2022-11-21,12442.446,21058.221,14462.422,9910.496,6039.87,1256.125,FALSE
World,2022-11-28,15008.063,23621.234,15729.013,11331.729,8849.354,1369.5,FALSE
World,2022-12-05,17824.383,25801.159,18407.297,13252.388,10104.709,1376.875,FALSE
World,2022-12-12,19834.771,29776.849,22098.915,16339.735,12379.742,1731.75,FALSE
World,2022-12-19,25151.19,32237.888,25151.19,18644.86,15212.276,2016.375,FALSE
World,2022-12-26,25972.032,36090.639,26087.6,19280.694,15983.189,2854.625,FALSE
World,2023-01-02,27386.557,32509.578,27386.557,18203.102,10360.769,4609.125,FALSE
World,2023-01-09,25103.948,30505.927,25103.948,16271.395,11915.636,5697.75,FALSE
World,2023-01-16,20594.625,28730.89,20594.625,12578.139,4950.526,4413.125,FALSE
World,2023-01-23,18296.928,25489.281,18296.928,8751.353,1043.005,2863.5,FALSE
World,2023-01-30,15488.079,22622.904,15488.079,7038.195,2542.58,1789,FALSE
World,2023-02-06,11810.232,17940.632,11810.232,5334.006,1298.598,1864.5,FALSE
World,2023-02-13,12144.139,20016.318,12144.139,5170.911,1609.062,1313.125,FALSE
World,2023-02-20,12202.928,17913.47,12202.928,5153.645,2170.881,1112.25,FALSE
World,2023-02-27,11272.985,18185.452,11272.985,4511.757,846.172,1025.25,FALSE
World,2023-03-06,11815.241,18285.722,11815.241,5058,1655.568,928.25,FALSE
World,2023-03-13,12112.437,19958.176,12112.437,4943.856,340.086,879.5,FALSE
World,2023-03-20,12843.061,19079.004,12843.061,5623.732,2436.957,915.125,FALSE
World,2023-03-27,12304.802,18576.891,12304.802,5059.206,904.302,895,FALSE
World,2023-04-03,11900.81,18050.066,11900.81,4837.196,982.865,798.625,FALSE
World,2023-04-10,10202.646,18544.055,10202.646,5702.179,2325.172,777.125,FALSE
World,2023-04-17,10196.8,19333.301,10745.334,6557.278,2913.227,707.25,FALSE
World,2023-04-24,9645.965,18893.329,10292.09,6204.592,2487.706,712.25,FALSE
World,2023-05-01,10703.815,19325.1,11285.405,6874.068,3601.745,638.75,FALSE
World,2023-05-08,11031.143,18371.254,11552.046,7128.438,3454.687,635.25,FALSE
World,2023-05-15,11439.092,21499.86,12212.838,7427.105,4408.277,675.75,FALSE
World,2023-05-22,11633.268,20410.968,12548.364,7739.606,4468.55,378,FALSE
World,2023-05-29,10937.668,19628.092,12052.991,7100.641,3547.213,373.75,FALSE
World,2023-06-05,10556.855,19299.923,11492.166,6774.272,3694.787,274.625,FALSE
World,2023-06-12,10505.449,19864.577,11501.987,6586.838,2906.185,310.875,FALSE
World,2023-06-19,10042.58,20133.188,10916.061,5979.18,2105.32,218.75,FALSE
World,2023-06-26,8907.112,19445.637,9733.286,5251.856,918.246,276.875,FALSE
World,2023-07-03,7654.979,19235.082,9029.228,4462.308,-119.947,218.625,FALSE
World,2023-07-10,9116.254,19984.999,10404.227,5598.931,913.292,200.5,FALSE
World,2023-07-17,8956.376,19641.298,9250.855,5051.539,-407.246,139.125,FALSE
World,2023-07-24,8082.917,19282.712,8860.198,4619.07,-669.29,127.75,FALSE
World,2023-07-31,8507.176,19091.604,10180.047,4116.107,-1508.138,162.75,FALSE
World,2023-08-07,9337.992,19360.833,10596.668,4588.497,-1643.442,142.25,FALSE
World,2023-08-14,10192.289,20447.301,11433.674,5330.582,-1802.692,107.25,FALSE
World,2023-08-21,10132.903,20278.557,11627.089,5193.996,-3297.365,125.25,FALSE
World,2023-08-28,9099.294,19717.747,11264.745,4577.465,-4549.964,101,FALSE
World,2023-09-04,6638.291,22276.183,10034.433,2002.427,-4623.135,75.75,FALSE
World,2023-09-11,6340.155,22020.392,10926.254,1838.933,-4503.104,153.625,FALSE
World,2023-09-18,6456.954,22172.976,10540.875,1890.91,-3795.917,41.75,FALSE
World,2023-09-25,5841.382,22861.85,10477.856,2033.689,-4126.94,21.25,FALSE
World,2023-10-02,5746.879,29194.728,13126.741,2299.775,-3963.387,0,FALSE
World,2023-10-04,4633.455,23447.224,8177.101,1198.195,-7203.328,0,FALSE